Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 1.043363 1.180005 1.328930 1.503472 1.702667 1.923179 2.186165
2026-02-08 0.808047 0.988098 1.201167 1.472685 1.810611 2.218794 2.751425
2026-02-15 0.692909 0.893817 1.145403 1.485168 1.934483 2.511684 3.314788
2026-02-22 0.605556 0.815396 1.090421 1.479762 2.020792 2.751909 3.824736
2026-03-01 0.534375 0.746326 1.035137 1.460872 2.078328 2.950212 4.290455
2026-03-08 0.467653 0.674210 0.965372 1.410048 2.079700 3.062743 4.637604
2026-03-15 0.425279 0.631334 0.931027 1.404028 2.141761 3.264860 5.135450
2026-03-22 0.407228 0.621765 0.943333 1.467237 2.312637 3.646052 5.953129
2026-03-29 0.375615 0.588008 0.915021 1.463150 2.375074 3.860090 6.519634
2026-04-05 0.353602 0.566908 0.903861 1.484263 2.478703 4.148859 7.241836
2026-04-12 0.325840 0.533845 0.870190 1.464155 2.509646 4.316103 7.766595
2026-04-19 0.301316 0.503871 0.838716 1.444174 2.537585 4.478744 8.298096
2026-04-26 0.274161 0.469268 0.800031 1.414501 2.557359 4.650651 8.913050
2026-05-03 0.249487 0.437100 0.763284 1.385944 2.578958 4.834284 9.589626
2026-05-10 0.233858 0.419234 0.749659 1.397638 2.676386 5.171261 10.618913
2026-05-17 0.217585 0.398517 0.728627 1.392571 2.739803 5.447868 11.560719
2026-05-24 0.201407 0.376384 0.702703 1.374865 2.775154 5.670689 12.416948
2026-05-31 0.183285 0.348868 0.663918 1.327221 2.742924 5.747805 12.957206
2026-06-07 0.171816 0.333225 0.646679 1.321577 2.798311 6.018248 13.981605
2026-06-14 0.168314 0.333011 0.659909 1.380831 3.000947 6.637385 15.930686
2026-06-21 0.158610 0.319343 0.644541 1.377001 3.062275 6.943246 17.154853
2026-06-28 0.151958 0.311378 0.640203 1.396790 3.179630 7.393738 18.816669
2026-07-05 0.142356 0.296370 0.619636 1.377943 3.204026 7.624158 19.936076